Our pre-match read
United StatesvsBelgium
Win Probability
37%29%33%
Home winDrawAway win

The scoreline was always going to sting more because of how close it felt for about twenty-two minutes. The United States equalized, the crowd at Lumen Field found its voice, and for a moment the 66,925 inside that stadium could see a different night. Then Charles De Ketelaere scored again, and the whole thing unraveled.

Our pre-match read called this one too close to split — and through the first half hour, that looked right. It wasn't.

The Match Belgium Took Away

De Ketelaere opened it in the 9th minute, finishing off a move that Nicolas Raskin started, and Belgium looked composed from the jump — 15 shots to the United States' 7 by the final whistle, seven of them on target to the Americans' two. The U.S. had the ball more (56.2% possession, 527 passes at 90% accuracy), but possession without penetration is just running a clock.

Malik Tillman leveled in the 31st minute — no assist, just a finish — and Lumen Field went loud. Two minutes later it went quiet. Leandro Trossard delivered the cross, De Ketelaere got his head to it, and that was 2-1 before the half was done. Weston McKennie picked up a yellow card in the 35th, two minutes after the equalizer that didn't last, which about summed up the U.S. mood going into the break.

El chispudo de De Ketelaere — always finding the right moment, always in the right pocket — was the difference in that first half. Two goals, one assist later in the second. Belgium built the whole night around him.

The Second Half Closed the Door

Hans Vanaken made it three in the 57th minute, with De Ketelaere turning provider this time. Cabal, that was when the match died as a contest. The United States were chasing the game with a squad that had managed just two shots on target all night, and Belgium's defense — nine fouls conceded, organized and rarely troubled — gave them nothing to work with.

Tillman saw yellow again in the 69th, his second booking of the tournament, which will have consequences depending on how the knockout bracket shakes out. Romelu Lukaku added the fourth in the 90th+3, Hans Vanaken the assist, the kind of late goal that makes a scoreline look even harsher than it felt.

Belgium's goalkeeper was barely tested — one save all match. The United States' keeper made three.

Verdict

This will feel like a missed opportunity for the U.S. They had the crowd, they had possession, they even had the equalizer for about two minutes. But Belgium were the sharper team when it mattered, and De Ketelaere was on another level. The question now is whether this group can rebuild confidence before the tournament is over — or whether a 4-1 loss at home carries the kind of weight that lingers. For Belgium, the draw that made this a near-even matchup on paper looks like a distant memory. They didn't just win. They took over.

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