Our pre-match read
SpainvsArgentina
Win Probability
43%31%26%
Home winDrawAway win

Eighty thousand people packed MetLife Stadium on Sunday night expecting a classic. What they got was something rawer than that — a war of attrition that Spain eventually won on their own terms, and Argentina lost partly through their own indiscipline.

For 105 minutes, the defending World Cup champions held. Argentina sat deep, fouled early and often, and asked Spain to break them down through sheer volume. Spain obliged: 65 percent of the ball, 20 shots, 852 passes at 90 percent accuracy. Argentina managed two shots all night. Neither was on target. Their goalkeeper made 11 saves. That is not a misprint.

The bookings started piling up in the first half. Lisandro Martínez went into the referee's book in the 41st minute, and Leandro Paredes followed in the 52nd. Argentina were walking a tightrope, and they knew it. Enzo Fernández picked up a yellow in the 82nd minute, which should have been a warning. Then Cristian Romero was booked in the second minute of stoppage time, and 60 seconds later — cabal, right there at the death of normal time — Fernández collected his second yellow and was sent off.

Ten men. Extra time. Spain smelling blood.

The Goal That Settled It

It took them six minutes. Nico Williams, relentless all tournament, found Ferran Torres in the 106th minute and Torres did the rest. One goal, and honestly it felt like more. En qué clavo se encontraba Argentina by that point — a man down, legs gone, facing a Spain side that had barely broken a sweat defensively. Their goalkeeper had kept the score level almost single-handedly through regulation; he could not do it forever.

Alexis Mac Allister was booked in the 111th minute, completing a miserable night for Argentina's discipline. Five yellows and a red. Twenty-five fouls conceded. That is not a game plan — that is a team that had no other answers.

Our pre-match read made Spain the favorite at 43 percent, and the result bore that out, even if nobody expected it to take 106 minutes.

What This Means

Spain are through to the World Cup Final, and they have been the most complete team at this tournament. Five wins from five coming in, and now a sixth. The passing, the width, the patience — it has not wavered once.

Argentina will hurt. They were not outclassed the way the stats suggest; they were suffocated, and for long stretches they suffocated Spain right back. But the red card changed the math irrevocably, and Scalari's side will feel they handed Spain the path to goal. Losing Fernández at the end of 90 minutes, in a semifinal, after picking up a completely avoidable second booking — that is the moment the tournament ended for them.

The question now is who Spain face in the final, and whether anyone in this competition has shown enough to actually stop them. Nothing in the last six games suggests they can be.

Follow every World Cup 2026 result, live group standings, and the knockout bracket on our World Cup 2026 hub, and get the full breakdown in our complete guide.