Our pre-match read
Real MadridvsInternazionale
Win Probability
59%22%19%
Home winDrawAway win

There's a particular kind of Champions League win that Real Madrid have made their signature — let the other team have the ball, then hurt them when it counts. Tuesday at the Bernabéu was a clean example. Internazionale finished with 64 percent possession, 21 shots, and 11 corners. They also finished with one goal and a loss.

Our pre-match read had Madrid as the favorite at 59%, and the match played out almost exactly along those lines.

The Damage Was Done Early

Kylian Mbappé opened the scoring in the 14th minute, finishing off a Brahim Díaz assist with the kind of move that makes the Bernabéu crowd exhale rather than erupt — expected, inevitable, done. Nine minutes later it was 2–0, Federico Valverde driving one home without an assist credited, a goal that came from the sort of purposeful, direct run that Valverde produces when the space opens in front of him.

Two goals in 23 minutes. Cabal, that was the match right there.

Inter had plenty of the ball in the first half but couldn't get behind Madrid's shape. Hakan Çalhanoglu picked up a yellow card in the 39th minute — the kind of booking that tends to come from frustration as much as aggression — and the half ended with the hosts firmly in control despite barely touching the ball.

Inter Push, Madrid Absorb

The second half belonged to Internazionale in terms of territory. Eleven corners, 21 total shots — they pressed and rotated and kept Madrid pinned back. Madrid's goalkeeper made seven saves on the night, which tells you how much work was required once Inter found their rhythm.

El chispudo de Lautaro Martínez, always making something happen even when the game isn't going his way — he picked up a yellow in the 79th minute, but not before setting up Carlos Augusto for the 77th-minute goal that made it 2–1 and gave the Bernabéu a nervous final stretch.

Dean Huijsen was booked in the same 79th minute, both sides getting a card within seconds of each other as tempers frayed after the Inter goal. Yann Bisseck added a fourth yellow of the night in stoppage time, but by then Madrid were seeing it out.

Verdict

The numbers will look strange to anyone who didn't watch. Inter had 621 passes to Madrid's 352. They had more shots, more corners, more of everything except goals. Madrid's 35.6 percent possession is the kind of figure that would spell disaster for most teams at this level — for this Madrid side, it increasingly looks like a tactical preference.

Internazionale will feel they deserved more from the run of play, and they're probably right. But the question now is whether a team can afford to give Mbappé and Valverde that kind of opening and expect to recover. On this night, they couldn't.

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