Our pre-match read
FiorentinavsFrosinone
Win Probability
54%25%22%
Home winDrawAway win

Fiorentina had 60 percent of the ball, 25 shots, and eight corners. They lost 3-0. That's the whole story, really — and it's a brutal one for the home side.

Frosinone came to the Stadio Artemio Franchi sitting on four wins from their last five, but our pre-match read still made Fiorentina a 54% favorite. It wasn't even close in the end. The visitors were sharper, more clinical, and frankly more together from the first whistle.

A Yellow Card and Two Goals

The evening got complicated for Frosinone early. Antonio Raimondo picked up a yellow card in the 8th minute, and Gabriele Bracaglia followed him into the book at 24'. Two key players each one booking away from an early shower, with the match barely a quarter done.

Two minutes later, none of that mattered. Giorgi Kvernadze fed Raimondo in the 26th minute, and the forward finished to put Frosinone ahead. For a player who'd been walking a disciplinary tightrope for nearly twenty minutes, it was a nervy, composed finish. El descaro de Raimondo — booking or no booking.

Fiorentina had barely processed the opener when Frosinone struck again. Giacomo Calo picked out Gabriele Bracaglia — yes, the other man in the book — and Bracaglia headed home in the 38th minute. Two-nil at the break, and the Franchi was stunned.

Álex Jiménez had picked up a yellow of his own at the 24th minute, and Gabriele Calvani added one for Frosinone in second-half stoppage time, but neither side was reduced to ten men. The bookings piled up without consequence.

The Match Dies in the 68th

Albert Gudmundsson was booked for Fiorentina just after the restart, which told you something about the mood. The home side were chasing, frustrated, and running out of ideas despite dominating possession.

Cabal, the match was already gone by the time Raimondo made it three. Bracaglia — scorer of the second — turned provider in the 68th minute, and Raimondo finished again to complete his brace and kill whatever slim hope Fiorentina still carried. Four saves from Frosinone's goalkeeper held the line for the rest of the night. Radu Dragusin collected a late yellow for Fiorentina in the 90th, a final, frustrated punctuation mark on a wretched evening.

The numbers tell the story of a team that had everything except the goals. Fiorentina put up 25 shots and managed four on target. Frosinone had 12 shots, six on frame, and scored three times.

What Now for Fiorentina?

The form coming in was mixed — two losses, a win, a draw, a win — and this doesn't help. A home shutout against a side that came in flying is one thing; losing this heavily while controlling possession is another. The question now is whether this was a freak result or a sign that something is genuinely wrong in how Fiorentina convert their dominance into danger.

Frosinone, meanwhile, will feel very good about themselves. Five wins from six is a serious run, and doing it at the Franchi, with two players on yellows before the half-hour, makes it even better.

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