Our pre-match read
ChelseavsHull City
Win Probability
78%14%8%
Home winDrawAway win

Chelsea came into this one with four wins from their last five and controlled nearly 68% of the ball by the final whistle. They still couldn't beat Hull City. That's the story of Saturday at Stamford Bridge — a game that our pre-match read had Chelsea winning 78% of the time, and that ended with the home crowd filing out quietly instead.

Morgan Rogers got Chelsea off to a bright start, converting a João Pedro assist in the 7th minute to put the hosts in front early. It felt like the natural order asserting itself. Hull, sitting deep and compact, had other ideas.

Belloumi Changes Everything

The visitors had been absorbing pressure and playing on the counter, and in the 28th minute it paid off. Mohamed Belloumi, picking up a Ryan Giles delivery, pulled Hull level. The goal seemed to loosen something — just six minutes later, Belloumi was at it again, this time finishing off an Oliver McBurnie assist to put Hull 2-1 up before halftime.

Qué giro tan inesperado. Chelsea, with 553 passes in the match and eleven corners, were somehow trailing at the break to a side that had mustered fewer than 260 passes by the end. Belloumi's double was the kind of output Hull's trip to London wasn't supposed to produce.

McBurnie had already been booked in the 17th minute for his trouble, and Hull continued to play on the edge in the second half — John Egan and Matt Crooks picked up yellows in the 50th and 52nd minutes respectively, leaving the visitors walking a tightrope.

Chelsea Find a Way Back, But Only Halfway

The equalizer came in the 66th minute. Cole Palmer found João Pedro, who made no mistake — a tidy finish that brought Stamford Bridge back to life and squared the ledger at 2-2. Chelsea pushed for a winner from there, and the numbers suggest they had every right to expect one: 12 shots, seven on target, eleven corners. Hull's goalkeeper made five saves on the day to Chelsea's three.

But Hull held. They fouled when they had to — 12 fouls on the night — and stayed organized enough to see it out, even as Brooke Norton-Cuffy collected a late booking in stoppage time.

Cabal, that is the part that will sting Chelsea most. The possession, the corners, the pressure in the final quarter — none of it produced a winner. Hull left London with a point that most people wouldn't have predicted them getting, and they earned it.

For Chelsea, the question now is whether the inability to break down a compact low block becomes a recurring problem, or whether this was just one of those nights. For Hull, whose form reads LDWWW coming in, this feels like a statement — el chispudo de Belloumi, finding the net twice on the road, is the kind of performance that makes people sit up and pay attention to this Hull side.

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