Our pre-match read
ArgentinavsCape Verde
Win Probability
83%12%5%
Home winDrawAway win

Nobody told Cape Verde they weren't supposed to make this interesting.

Argentina came into Friday night's World Cup knockout at Hard Rock Stadium as the heavy favorites — our pre-match read had them at 83% — and for the first half-hour, they looked every bit of it. Then Lionel Messi did what Lionel Messi does: collected a Lisandro Martínez pass in the 29th minute and put Argentina ahead with the kind of finish that makes 64,478 people exhale at once. Comfortable. Expected. The script running on schedule.

Then Cape Verde tore the script up.

The Equalizer

Argentina carried that lead into the second half with 63.5% of the ball and 849 passes at 90% accuracy — the kind of numbers that suggest control. But numbers don't score goals. In the 59th minute, Ryan Mendes slipped the ball through to Deroy Duarte, who finished cleanly to level it. Suddenly the crowd was unsettled, the Argentines were rattled, and Cape Verde — a side that came in with one win in their last five — looked like they believed.

Kevin Pina picked up a yellow card in the 68th minute, which kept things tense without changing the shape of the game. Argentina pressed, hit the woodwork of their shot count (22 attempts, 10 on target), and Cape Verde's goalkeeper was busy — eight saves on the night. Still, it stayed 1-1 through ninety minutes.

Extra Time Chaos

¡Ala gran púchica! — if you thought normal time was dramatic, extra time had other ideas.

Lisandro Martínez, who had opened the evening with an assist, became the hero in the 92nd minute — putting Argentina back in front with a finish set up by Alexis Mac Allister. The defender-turned-scorer, cabal, that looked like the moment the match was settled for good.

It wasn't. Yannick Semedo found Sidny Lopes Cabral in the 103rd minute, and Cape Verde were level again at 2-2. En qué clavo se encontraba Argentina — the world champions, two goals up in aggregate advantage, pegged back twice by a team with a losing record coming in.

The winner, when it came, was as unlikely as everything else. Diney Borges turned the ball into his own net in the 111th minute, and that was finally, mercifully, enough. Gonzalo Montiel picked up a yellow card four minutes later — a nervy footnote to a nervy night — but Argentina held on.

Verdict

Argentina advance, and our pre-match read held up in the result, if not the experience. But this was not the performance of a team that looks ready to lift the trophy. Cape Verde finished with 16 shots and five on target despite having barely a third of the ball — they were organized, direct, and genuinely dangerous every time they got forward. That should concern Argentina's coaching staff.

The question now is whether this was a one-off wobble or something more telling about where this team is. The bracket will provide the answer soon enough.

Follow every World Cup 2026 result, live group standings, and the knockout bracket on our World Cup 2026 hub, and get the full breakdown in our complete guide.